More, less, and equally likely

Learning Objectives Identify which event is more likely to happen. Identify which event is less likely to happen. Identify when events are equally likely to happen. Use counting to compare the chances of different outcomes. Explain their reasoning using the words 'more', 'less', or 'equally likely'. Connect likelihood to real-world situations like games and choices. Imagine a bag full of yummy fruit! 🍎🍌🍓 If you pick one without looking, which fruit will you probably get? Today, we will learn about chance! We will use special words like 'more likely', 'less likely', and 'equally likely' to make smart guesses. Real-World Applications Guessing if you will pick a red or blue crayon from a box. Playing a board...

TermDefinitionExample ChanceChance tells us how possible it is for something to happen. 🤔The chance of a coin landing on heads is one of two possibilities. More LikelySomething is more likely if it has a bigger chance of happening. 👍In a bag with 5 red balls and 2 blue balls, picking a red ball is more likely. Less LikelySomething is less likely if it has a smaller chance of happening. 👎In a bag with 5 red balls and 2 blue balls, picking a blue ball is less likely. Equally LikelyThings are equally likely if they have the same chance of happening. ⚖️If a spinner has 1 red part and 1 blue part of the same size, landing on red or blue is equally likely. OutcomeAn outcome is what happens after you do something, like picking a color. 🎨When you roll a die, one outcome is rolling a 4.

The More Likely Rule Count(Choice A) > Count(Choice B) If the count of one choice is bigger, it is more likely to be picked. The Less Likely Rule Count(Choice A) < Count(Choice B) If the count of one choice is smaller, it is less likely to be picked. The Equally Likely Rule Count(Choice A) = Count(Choice B) If the counts of two choices are the same, they are equally likely to be picked.